Economic Development and Privatization in Turkey:
An Analysis of the Gucbirligi Holding (GBH) Model
Abstract
| International business trends in 2000 continue to
focus on privatization efforts in developing nations. Moving from
socialism to a free market system has proven to be difficult. China has
elected to pursue a strategy of gradual evolution while Russia has adopted
an "earthquake" approach of overnight change. Turkey, a major ally of the
West and a key player in the volatile Middle East, is struggling to privatize.
One very promising new form of business organization found in the Aegean
Region of Turkey has been highly successful and is shedding new light on
privatization approaches. The Gucbirligi (Gook-bril-ee) Multi-sector Holding
Model brings many small struggling businesses together under the guidance
of a professional management team. This "Assembly of Power" idea
deserves further research and possible use in developing, emerging, and
transitioning nations around the world. |
OBJECTIVES OF PROPOSED PAPER
The objectives of this paper are to:
(1) Show that world business trends
favor privatization which is difficult to achieve,
(2) Show the major role that Turkey
is playing in economic development and
political stability in a potentially volatile Middle East,
(3) Document the success of the
slow but steady privatization process
currently underway in Turkey,
(4) Examine the apparent success
of a creative form of business
organization that is leading to greater privatization in the Aegean
Region of Turkey, the Gucbirligi Multi-sector Holding Model.
FRAMEWORK OF THE PROPOSED PAPER
There are five sections in the proposed paper as follows: (1) An overview
of International Privatization, (2) Turkey's Recent Political and Economic
Past, (3) Current Privatization in Turkey, (4) The Gucbirligi Holding Model,
(5) Summary and Conclusions
AN OVERVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL PRIVATIZATION
The recent state of international economic
affairs has seen more than half of the world struggle in its transition
from philosophies of absolutism and mercantilism to more free market approaches.
Adam Smith preached free-trade and laissez-faire economic policies as early
as the mid 1700's. Some nations followed his concepts while others
were drawn to the teachings of Karl Marx and Friedrich Engles and scientific
socialism. By the mid 1970's, however, the literature seemed to focus
more and more on problems appearing in those nations that had adopted various
forms of socialism.
From the late 1970's through the mid
1990's, the privatization trend spread around the world in different forms
and with different levels of intensity. Some privatization
probably did occur because national leaders were motivated by true ideology,
like that found in the Czech Republic. However, most changes occurred
because of pragmatic reasons such as living conditions, oppressive tax
rates, new freedom of the media, and a new need to be competitive among
a growing number of free-market nations. It is believed that politicians
exercised their only option, "they supported privatization."
When individual countries and even regions
are examined, it can be seen that moving to a free market system is not
a simple undertaking. It does not happen easily and it does not happen
overnight. Looking at both ends of a continuum, it can be seen that
some (former) socialist nations, such as China, have elected to pursue
a strategy of gradual change. Russia and others have adopted an "earthquake"
approach wherein democratic and free-market goals are attempted overnight.
The purpose of this paper is not to
debate the best method of converting from socialism to capitalism.
This would be an overwhelming task because of the long list of nations
involved, the many variables, and the degree of privatization that is being
pursued. It is more logical to look at specific countries and to
get ideas from them about how privatization issues are being handled.
It might then be possible to discuss their strategies and select the better
ones to pass along to other nations that are struggling to make a similar
transition. The current paper deals with Turkey, a major international
ally of the West and a key strategic player in affairs of an unstable Middle
East region.
TURKEY'S RECENT POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC PAST
The Turkish economy expanded rapidly
between 1950 and 1960 as a partial result of the new economic thinking
and needed large-scale foreign assistance from the West. There were
some economic and social strains because of the rapid economic growth and
management style. The proportional representation provisions of the
1961 constitution made it difficult for any party to gain the majority
needed to enact effective legislation. This often led to riots
and civil disruption.
Following a dispute involving Cyprus
in 1973, various groups within Turkey began to oppose the presence of NATO
bases on their soil. There was popular support to abandon secularism
and draw closer to the neighboring Muslim Arab countries that were becoming
more powerful because of their newfound oil wealth and the resulting political
power. The government (1979-1980) of Suleyman Demirel chose to retain
Turkey's close alliance with the West and to seek foreign assistance in
the hope of developing the private sector.
In 1989, Turgut Ozal was chosen as Turkey's
first civilian head of state since 1960. Ozal died in 1993 and Demirel
replaced him as the country's president. Economics Minister Tansu
Ciller replaced Demirel as leader of the True Path Party and became the
country's first female prime minister. Turkey's economy suffered
because of government deficits, a weak currency, and continued economic
losses incurred by the UN trade embargo of Iraq. A foreign exchange
crisis came in late January of 1994 and subsequent crisis in the banking
sector. In April 1994, in an attempt to boost Turkey's faltering
economy, Ciller announced an economic austerity package, including price
and tax increases and privatization of state assets. Signals of recovery
were evident from early 1995 when GNP increased by 12.4 percent and 10.0
percent in the second and third quarters of 1995.
CURRENT PRIVATIZATION IN TURKEY
Based on conversations with older Turks,
hardships were more pronounced before it became aligned with the West,
in the early 1950's. Since that time it has continued to develop
and has emerged as a leader in the Middle East. The private sector
has emerged as a powerful growth engine. Average annual growth rates
over the past decade were the highest of any OECD country. This has
led to its designation by the U.S. Department of Commerce as one of the
ten "Big Emerging Markets." However, similar to almost all other
emerging nations, Turkey does have economic problems of one kind or the
other. The fundamental one according to the Trade Promotion Coordinating
Committee (TPCC) is Turkey's fiscal problem. Basically this means
excess government spending which results in inflation. Furthermore,
the solution to this problem lies in tough structural reform measures.
These include a focus on (1) continued privatization of money-losing state
enterprises, (2) improved efficiency of tax collection, and (3) streamlining
of the social security system.
The privatization effort in Turkey is
continuing to slowly move along without serious problems, unlike those
found in most former command economies. The literature generally
points to "mixed results" in describing Turkey's efforts to move toward
a free market economic system. Economic thinking in the business
community has systematically shifted from one of state dependence toward
a more modern free market system and is continuing to evolve. Some
remaining state managed businesses are slowly being privatized. But, it
is still quite surprising to visitors from the West to find all types of
businesses, from airlines and factories to supermarkets, that are still
owned and operated by the government.
The chairman of the nation's privatization
administration, said he found himself recently in a "very difficult situation
in the middle of a global financial crisis and hectic domestic agenda."
The recent recessions in many Asian and European countries, along with
the Russian financial crisis created hard times for Turkey. Two major
privatization efforts were recently canceled, he said. One occurred
because of a negative court decision and the other because of a scandal
involving corruption. According to some, the privatization notion
is starting to lose credibility and being tainted in the eyes of the public.
Further problems are being created by the Turkish legal system which is
not familiar with the "sophisticated aspects of free markets," according
to the privatization chairman.
Current research by national and international
authorities, however, concur in the finding that Turkey has been successful
in its privatization efforts, but more remains to be done. At a recent
government conference, privatization was seen to be a top priority for
Turkey's development. "The State should withdraw fully from trade and industry,"
said a top leader. Another said "Turkey should privatize everything
including the banks and pointed to the example of other countries where,
after privatization "half the people are doing twice the production."
THE GUCBIRLIGI HOLDING MODEL
Multi-shared models or "holding companies"
are becoming more common in Turkey and seem to hold a good deal of promise
in future privatization efforts. The private multi-shared organization
is a form of business in which several smaller businesses join together
to become a much larger and more competitive organization. The basic
purpose of this form of ownership is to reduce failure rates that are typically
high among small businesses in free market nations. This form of
business organization can provide cost reductions (economies of scale,)
and gain many technical advantages (experience curve economies) that do
not accrue to smaller businesses. Specifically, these experience
curve advantages include, but are not limited to, expertise from the home
office staff in such functions of purchasing, marketing, finance, accounting,
human resources and even production.
Multi-shared organizations are not new
to capitalism. There have been other similar forms of combined effort
in various countries in past years. Most of them, however, are identified
with big business or large corporations. These include partnerships,
joint ventures, or even giant conglomerates. Large holding companies
are fairly common in the UK, and cooperative trading groups are commonplace
in Japan. Another example, although it does not involve ownership,
can be found in the United States. This "joining forces to compete
with big business" program is sponsored by the U.S. Small Business Administration
(SBA) and brings various types of consultants to individual small businesses
to help them compete. The SBA also has some loan assistance programs.
The idea, of course, is that competition must be encouraged if capitalism
is to survive. The SBA program helps small businesses compete and
it is hoped that they will grow into larger businesses.
The multi-shared organizations in Turkey
are really working to accomplish very similar goals that other "join forces
to compete" programs are doing in highly industrialized nations.
In Turkey they are bringing many small businesses together to help with
expertise, and financing, so that they can compete with big public sector
and private sector organizations that have greater economic power in a
free market. The Turkish people have always been great traders and
they intuitively know that there must be real competition if their free
market economy is going to succeed in the long run.
The Gucbirligi (pronounced Gook-brill-ee)
Holding Model carries this form of organization to a higher level.
It has a tremendous record of success and other unique features that makes
it worthy of additional research. Gucbirligi (literally means "assembly
of power" in the Turkish language) was established in November of 1995
with only $300 (U.S.) and now has become one of the leading firms in Turkey.
They now have capital assets that are worth more than one billion dollars
(U.S.) and involve more than 3,700 small and medium- sized firms in 260
different areas. The focus of efforts for Gucbirligi has been in
the Aegean region which is the southwest costal section. This region
lagged behind Istanbul following WWII when several families controlled
cement, textiles and tobacco production. Recently, however, this
area is becoming one of the more economically progressive regions in the
nation. Part of the developments in the region are based on the efforts
of Gucbirligi Holding.
The original 108 partners who formed
the joint stock company were highly successful businesspeople and investors
in the Aegean region and were "tired of seeing Izmir and the Aegean region
receive less than its fair share of business activity in Turkey."
The central figure in the founding and current day-to-day operation of
Gucbirligi is Mr. Kemal Zorlu, a wealthy and highly experienced Turkish
industrial leader. He has assembled a first rate cadre of professional
managers, from several countries, to oversee the various product lines
within the multi-sector organization. Gucbirligi is now expanding
rapidly into other regions of Turkey, including Istanbul, and has recently
become a publically held company.
One unique feature of the Gucbirligi
Model is the multi-sector approach. There are other shared-ownership
models in Turkey, but they are usually found within a single sector.
Other Aegean region multi-shared models are EGS (Aegean Clothing Industry)
and KIPA, a supermarket chain. Gucbirligi is the only example of
a multi-sector model that is known. It has diversified to a great
extent, with industrial and consumer business interests that range from
power generation and commercial construction to marketing pistachio nuts.
A highly visible construction project currently in the latter stages of
development is the giant World Trade Center in Izmir. This high rise
tower project will house cinemas, hotels, offices and shopping malls.
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
The privatization
effort in Turkey is continuing to move along slowly, without serious problems,
unlike those found in many nations. The literature generally points
to "mixed results" in describing Turkey's efforts to move toward a free
market economic system. Current research by national and international
authorities concur in the finding that Turkey has been successful, but
more remains to be done. It is still quite surprising to visitors
from the West to find all types of businesses, from airlines and factories
to supermarkets, that are still owned and operated by the government.
The Gucbirligi form of business organization,
a multi-sector holding company, is creative and clearly fills a need in
further moving the Aegean Region forward. Its success is rather remarkable.
First-hand observation of the Gucbirligi operation by the researchers reveals
a powerful and motivated ownership base. The unusually gifted leader,
Mr. Kemal Zorlu, has been able to attract a top flight professional management
team, and this is most unusual in a developing region.
If the Gucbirligi model works so well
in the Agean Region of Turkey, why shouldn't it be studied in greater detail
and used in other nations that are struggling to compete in a global marketplace?
The fourteen nations that broke away from Russia, now considered to be
the Former Soviet Union, and the Eastern and Central European nations could
clearly make good use of this organizational business form. The researchers
have worked and traveled in these areas and have not observed such a high
degree of dynamism in the business community. Perhaps the ideas of
"strength in numbers" or "assembly of power," in the context of small business,
needs additional study. It is difficult to argue with economic success
and Turkey has achieved that. |